#Brent Crude

Deep Market Analysis July 16: BTC Consolidates at $64K-$65K After CPI+PPI Double Miss — PPI 5.5% Below Expectations Sends July Rate Hike Odds to 12%, 50-Month EMA at $65,300 Unbroken, ETH Leads at $1,920-$1,928 (43-Day High), CLARITY Act Hearing Tomorrow Becomes Key Catalyst

Bitcoin consolidates in the $64,800-$65,100 range today as the dual CPI+PPI tailwinds are fully priced in and upward momentum weakens. June PPI came in at 5.5% YoY (est. 6.2%) with a -0.3% MoM decline — the steepest in 14 months — sending July FOMC rate hike odds from 31% to just 12%. After a ~12% rally from the July 1 low of $57,950, BTC failed to break through the 50-month EMA ($65,300) as profit-taking emerged. RSI hovers around 50, momentum fading. The 200-week MA ($62,445) has been held for 7 consecutive days. ETH is outperforming at $1,920-$1,928 — a 43-day high — with ETH/BTC recovering above 0.0295. The CLARITY Act NYC field hearing on July 17 is the key short-term catalyst. Exchange balance falls to 6.45% — a new all-time low. Fear & Greed Index at 23-25 (Extreme Fear).