#on-chain
5 tagPage.articles
Deep Market Analysis July 16: BTC Consolidates at $64K-$65K After CPI+PPI Double Miss — PPI 5.5% Below Expectations Sends July Rate Hike Odds to 12%, 50-Month EMA at $65,300 Unbroken, ETH Leads at $1,920-$1,928 (43-Day High), CLARITY Act Hearing Tomorrow Becomes Key Catalyst
Bitcoin consolidates in the $64,800-$65,100 range today as the dual CPI+PPI tailwinds are fully priced in and upward momentum weakens. June PPI came in at 5.5% YoY (est. 6.2%) with a -0.3% MoM decline — the steepest in 14 months — sending July FOMC rate hike odds from 31% to just 12%. After a ~12% rally from the July 1 low of $57,950, BTC failed to break through the 50-month EMA ($65,300) as profit-taking emerged. RSI hovers around 50, momentum fading. The 200-week MA ($62,445) has been held for 7 consecutive days. ETH is outperforming at $1,920-$1,928 — a 43-day high — with ETH/BTC recovering above 0.0295. The CLARITY Act NYC field hearing on July 17 is the key short-term catalyst. Exchange balance falls to 6.45% — a new all-time low. Fear & Greed Index at 23-25 (Extreme Fear).
Deep Market Analysis July 15: BTC Breaks $65K — 12.2% Rally in 14 Days, RSI Crosses 50 for First Time Since July 1, June CPI Cools to 2.6% Core Fueling Rate Cut Hopes, Exchange Balance Hits 7-Year Low of 6.5%, FxPro Targets $73K-$74K, Upbit Volume Explodes 1,318%
Bitcoin surged past $65,000 (+3.5%) today for the first time since June 23, with the 14-day rally reaching 12.2%. The catalyst was June CPI significantly below expectations (core 2.6% vs est. 3.0%), pushing September rate-cut odds to 45%. Key technical milestone: RSI crossed above 50 for the first time since July 1 — trend shifting from bearish to neutral-bullish. MACD momentum is strengthening. The 200-week MA ($62,445) has been held for 6 consecutive days. Exchange balance falls to 6.5% — a 7-year low. South Korea's Upbit volume surged 1,318% to $4.2B, with XRP volume surpassing BTC on the exchange. FxPro analysts note the crypto market has broken above its 50-day MA, setting a target of $73K-$74K (200-day MA). The sustainability of the $65K breakout will determine whether this rally can upgrade into a full trend reversal.
Crypto Market Analysis July 14, 2026: BTC Breaks $62K Under Triple Headwinds — 200-Week MA at Risk, Panic Selling Exhaustion Suggests Bottom, June CPI Cools but Core Sticky
Bitcoin fell to $61,847-$62,730 (−2.7% to −3.1%), losing $62K. The 200-week MA is under renewed threat. Trump 20% Hormuz toll, Waller rate hike warning, US gov $297M transfer. Daily spot selling plunged from 2,000 BTC (June) to 53 BTC (July). Coinbase says BTC may be bottoming. CPI -0.1% but core +0.2%. Fear & Greed at 22.
Deep Market Analysis July 10: BTC Bounces to $63K Consolidating Ahead of CPI, ETF Inflow Reversal Ends 10-Day Outflow Streak, Whales Accumulate 270K+ BTC in $60K-$63K Range, 200-Week MA Under Reconfirmation
Bitcoin bounces from $61.4K to $63K (+1.5%), consolidating on low volume ahead of CPI. BTC ETFs break 10-day outflow streak with $143M+ inflows; BlackRock IBIT leads with $209M. The 200-week MA ($62,445) is under reconfirmation — needs 3 consecutive closes above to invalidate the 'failed breakout.' On-chain data shows NUPL recovering to 0.07, exchange balances at a historic low of 6.6%, and whales accumulating 270K+ BTC in the $60K-$63K range. Four scenarios with CPI as the directional catalyst.
Deep Market Analysis July 9: BTC Crashes 3.5% Loses 200-Week MA, $310M Long Liquidations with Funding Rates Negative, $60K Is the Last Line of Defense for Bulls
Bitcoin crashes 3.5% to $61.4K, losing the critical 200-week MA ($62,445) and invalidating the July rally as a failed breakout. The US-Iran ceasefire collapse and hawkish FOMC minutes create a dual shock triggering $310M in long liquidations. $60K is the last line of defense — losing it opens $56K-$58K. Four scenarios with trading strategies. On-chain data shows NUPL approaching cycle-bottom levels, only 46% of supply in profit, whales still accumulating.